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Aug 08

Testing the accuracy of Google Insights data

Darren Bond Photograph

Obviously, getting any useful information about search volumes from Google has always been a bit like getting blood from a stone. Robin had a look at what you can do with the Google Insights tool and since then we’ve been quite intrigued to find out how accurate Google Insights actually is.

We arranged a little test to see if we could translate Google’s search volume ratios into actual numbers.

So we took a relatively high volume financial search term that we currently bid on for one of our clients. The client has enough budget to ensure the ad shows on every search, and the ad always appears in the top position. Then we graphed the number of impressions for this keyword over the last year.

We then took the data for the same keyword, across the same time period from Google Insights and mapped them on top of the impression count from Adwords.

Initially we could see the same peaks and troughs, but the lines didn’t overlap on the graph. The troughs and peaks were in the right place, so it seemed as though the numbers were just out by a fixed factor all the way along.

To combat this, we introduced a fixed coefficient to the numbers from Google Insights, and sure enough, after a few calculated guesses, the lines soon started to overlap quite nicely.

Image of search volume - Google insight vs Google Adwords

You’ll see though that the phrase match line was still slightly lower than the rest. We amended our calculations so broad and phrase match could have different coefficients. With a few more calculations we ended up with this:

Image of search volume - Google insight vs Google Adwords

These seem fairly accurate as far as we can see. So, we’re happy to say that both of the coefficients we found from this are between 50 and 80.

Bear in mind, if we could find this coefficient, we would have the best keyword tool on the web with data coming straight from the horse’s mouth!

Have you tried any experiments like this? If you have, tell us if you’ve managed to get similar results, and what coefficients you’ve found. If you haven’t and you thought this post was interesting… snap to it and tell us how you get on!

About the author

Darren is an online marketing executive. He joined Coast Digital in 2006. He works with several big clients including Slendertone and Wiltshire Farm Foods. The majority of his work is on affiliate programs but he also has his own PPC and SEO clients, including Symantec and LapSafe.

Darren brings great enthusiasm to his work and really enjoys working on SEO projects. He finds nothing more rewarding than getting a website to the top spot in the search engine results.

He is a Google Advertising Professional and a DC-Storm Champion.

Darren graduated with a first class honours degree in Computer Science from the University of Essex. Coast Digital is his first job.

Comments

Posted By watch eclipse online free | 15 Jun 2010 09:09:13
good work getting those figures up and too bad you couldnt figure out the coefficients. im doing keyword research right now and just trying to find some low hanging fruit but i keep running into weird things. for example the keyword "watch this without laughing" gets 250k monthly global searches, but when i compared it to another keyword (that the adwords tool said had 250k searches) on google insights, it said they were very different.

obviously one of the two is giving inaccurate information.... guess i gotta keep looking or maybe just use some intuition..

good read btw and good effort
Posted By sunglasses shop | 05 Jun 2010 01:04:33
very good information you write it very clean. I'm very lucky to get this information from

you.
Posted By William | 03 Feb 2010 06:07:19
Is the adwords keyword tool or the the insight tool is more reliable for search volume? In the insight tool (with quotes), sometimes a keyword (with higher search volume in adwords keyword tool (exact match)) has a line plotted lower than another keyword (with lower search volume in adwords keyword tool (exact match)). Thanks
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